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Starting on the 13 May 2014, severe rainfall hit south-eastern Europe. The event continued until the 16 May. The worst affected countries were Serbia and Bosnia - Herzegovina where the rain is said to be the worst for 120 years. Currently more than 30 people have died in land-slides and the flooding following the rain. Heavy rainfall and strong winds also affected Austria, Slovakia and other neighbouring countries. |
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The plots below show CDF for 5-day precipitation 12 May 06UTC to 17 May06UTC for Beograd (point for 44N, 20E), for different centres obtained from the TIGGE archive. The observed value for the period was 190 mm.
Gallery includeLabel tigge_cdf sort comment title TIGGE CDF for Beograd
The plots below show CDF for 3-day precipitation 13 May 06UTC to 16 May 06UTC for Beograd, for different centres. The observed value for the period was 174 mm.
Gallery includeLabel tigge_cdf_3d sort comment title TIGGE CDF for Beograd (3-day)
For this point, the ECMWF forecast was generally worse than for other centres, but might got the signal one day earlier (8 May).
3.6 EFAS
Gallery includeLabel efas_severe sort comment title EFAS
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