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For this point, the ECMWF forecast was generally worse than for other centres, but might got the signal one day earlier (8 May). We have to check wheather the differences can be due to difference in orography. Optimally, the diagnostics should be done for an area average.
3.6 EFAS
Gallery includeLabel efas_severe sort comment title EFAS
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4. Experience from general performance/other cases
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- The flooding in central Europe 2013. Technical Memorandum soon finished about the case.
5. Good and bad aspects of the forecasts for the event
- Good early detection of the large scale cut-off low and extreme precipitation (in EFI)
- Early response in the EFAS system
- Precipitation amounts clearly underestimated for Beograd. ECMWF worse than other centres.