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The plots below show the accumulated precipitation 12 May 06UTC to 17 May 06UTC for forecast with different resolutions (T1279, T639 and T319) initialised 12 May 00UTC. For this forecast it is a clear difference between the resolutions.
The figure above shows the 3-day accumulated precipitation in the box 44N-45N, 18E-20E from different initial dates (from different resolutions).
3.3 ENS
Gallery includeLabel efi_d5 sort comment title EFI 5-day (12-17 May)
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The plots below show the accumulated precipitation 12 May 06UTC to 17 May 06UTC for forecast (control) from different centre (ECMWF, UKMO, NCEP and CMC) initialised 12 May 00UTC. Most rain was produced by UKMO and CMC.
The figure above shows the 3-day accumulated precipitation in the box 44N-45N, 18E-20E from different initial dates (for control forecasts from different centres). In general UKMO seems to be able to produce most rain for the region.
The plots below show CDF for 5-day precipitation 12 May 06UTC to 17 May 06UTC for Beograd (point for 44.9N, 20.3E), for different centres obtained from the TIGGE archive. The observed value for the period was 190 mm.
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