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 Status: Ongoing analysis Material from: Linus


 


1. Impact

During the last week of June a large part of Europe was under a heatwave, stretching from northern Africa to northern Norway. Several temperature records were broken on high latitudes.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/62001812

2. Description of the event

The plots below show analyses of T850 and z500 for 24 to 30 June, every 24 hour.

3. Predictability

  

3.1 Data assimilation

 

3.2 HRES


3.3 ENS

The plots below show the EFI for 3-day 2-metre temperature 26-28 June.

The plot below shows the forecast evolution plot 3-day 2-metre temperature 26-28 June for Rome, Italy.

The plot below shows the forecast evolution plot 3-day 2-metre temperature 26-28 June for Tromso, Norway.


3.4 Monthly forecasts

The plots below show the weekly anomalies for 2-metre temperature from extended-range forecasts with different lead times.


3.5 Comparison with other centres


4. Experience from general performance/other cases


5. Good and bad aspects of the forecasts for the event


6. Additional material

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