201507 - Heatwave - Western Europe

 Status:Ongoing analysis Material from: Linus

Discussed in the following Daily reports:

http://intra.ecmwf.int/daily/d/dreport/2015/06/22/sc/

http://intra.ecmwf.int/daily/d/dreport/2015/06/23/sc/

http://intra.ecmwf.int/daily/d/dreport/2015/06/24/sc/

http://intra.ecmwf.int/daily/d/dreport/2015/06/25/sc/

http://intra.ecmwf.int/daily/d/dreport/2015/06/26/sc/

http://intra.ecmwf.int/daily/d/dreport/2015/06/29/sc/

http://intra.ecmwf.int/daily/d/dreport/2015/06/29/sc/

http://intra.ecmwf.int/daily/d/dreport/2015/07/01/sc/

Picture

1. Impact

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-33341325

On 1 July, the July temperature record for UK was set at Heathrow with 36.7C.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-33324881

2. Description of the event

The plots below shows the evolution of z500 and t850 and analyses spanning from 26 June to ...

3. Predictability

3.1 Data assimilation

3.2 HRES

3.3 ENS

3.4 Monthly forecasts

Forecasts valid Week 27

3.5 Comparison with other centres

4. Experience from general performance/other cases

5. Good and bad aspects of the forecasts for the event

6. Additional material