Status:Ongoing analysis Material from: Linus
Discussed in the following Daily reports:
Picture
1. Impact
On Saturday 12 September southern France was hit but flash floods and the day after Genoa in north-western Italy was hit. On 14 September a strong convective cell affected Veneto (NE Italy) and created hailstones in size of tennis balls.
2. Description of the event
The plots below shows MSLP and 12-hour precipitation from short forecasts.
MSLP and 12-hour precipitation (short forecast)
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Saturday (12 Sept 06- 13 Sept 06z)
Sunday (13 Sept 06z - 14 Sept 06z)
Monday (14 Sept 06z - 15 Sept 06z)
3. Predictability
3.1 Data assimilation
3.2 HRES
Saturday (12 Sept 06- 13 Sept 06z)
The plots below show forecasts from 12 Sept 00z, 11 Sept 12z ans 11 Sept 00z.
Sunday (13 Sept 06z - 14 Sept 06z)
The plots below show forecasts from 13 Sept 00z, 12 Sept 12z ans 12 Sept 00z.
3.3 ENS
Saturday 12 Sept
Sunday 13 Sept
3.4 Monthly forecasts
3.5 Comparison with other centres
3.6 EFAS
EPIC
ERIC
4. Experience from general performance/other cases