High resolution
Comparison of scores of IFS cycle 43r3 (combination of alpha and beta testing data) and IFS cycle 43r1 (the current operational cycle) verified by the respective analyses or radiosonde and SYNOP observations for the period 00 UTC on 1 June 2016 to 00 UTC on 10 May 2017 (687 forecast runs).
| Northern and Southern Hemispheres | Europe and Northern Atlantic | Northern America and Northern Pacific | Arctic and Antarctic | Tropics, East Asia and Australia |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
The score card provides a quick visual overview over the performance of the cycle 43r3 scores compared to cycle 43r1. It is a simplified summary of verify error plots for various domains, scores, parameters etc.
Each error plot is converted into a sequence of symbols (e.g. ) where each symbol indicates for a given time step whether or not the cycle 43r3 is significantly better or worse than the cycle 43r1.
Symbol legend: for a given forecast step... (d: score difference, s: confidence interval width)
cycle 43r3 better than cycle 43r1 statistically highly significant (with 99.7% confidence)
cycle 43r3 better than cycle 43r1 statistically significant (with 95% confidence)
cycle 43r3 better than cycle 43r1, yet not statistically significant (with 68% confidence)
not really any difference between cycle 43r1 and cycle 43r3
cycle 43r3 worse than cycle 43r1, yet not statistically significant (with 68% confidence)
cycle 43r3 worse than cycle 43r1 statistically significant (with 95% confidence)
cycle 43r3 worse than cycle 43r1 statistically highly significant (with 99.7% confidence)