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 Status:Ongoing analysis Material from: Linus


 

1. Impact

In August 2020 Western Europe underwent a strong heatwave. For example, Paris measured above 35C and London Heathrow above 33C during 6 consecutive days (7-12 August).

2. Description of the event

The plots below show analyses of T850 and z500 from 5 August to 12 August (all 00UTC).


The plot below shows a Howmoller diagram of v200 averaged between 35N-60N cover 1 July to 12 August.


3. Predictability

  

3.1 Data assimilation

 

3.2 HRES


3.3 ENS

The plots below show EFI for 5-day mean temperature valid for 7-11 August.


3.4 Monthly forecasts

The plots below show 7-day anomalies of 2-metre temperature (shade) and winds (arrows) for the period 6-12 August (Thursday to Thursday), in 1,2 and 3 week forecasts.


3.5 Comparison with other centres


4. Experience from general performance/other cases


5. Good and bad aspects of the forecasts for the event


6. Additional material

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