Status: Ongoing analysis Material from: Linus, Fernando
1. Impact
On 29-30 January the cyclone Malik passed the northern European, affecting several countries along its path from UK in the west to the Baltic States in the east. In UK 2 people were killed by falling trees (https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-60188454). The cyclone was followed on 30 January by storm Corrie that hit Scotland.
2. Description of the event
The plots below show analyses of MSLP and 6-hour forecasts of precipitation from 29 January 12UTC to 31 January 00UTC, every 12 hour.
3. Predictability
3.1 Data assimilation
3.2 HRES
The plots below show observations from SYNOP (first plot) and HRES forecasts of 24-hour maximum wind gusts valid 29 January 12UTC - 30 January 12UTC, from different initial dates (all 00UTC except the first forecast plot).
3.3 ENS
The plots below show EFI for 1-day maximum wind gusts for 29 January, from different initial times.
The plots below show EFI for 1-day maximum wind gusts for 30 January, from different initial times.
The plots below shows cyclonic features on 30 January 00UTC, with the colour marking the maximum wind at 1 km height within 600 km from the centre of the cyclone.
