Status:Ongoing analysis Material from: Linus, Esti, Ivan
1. Impact
On 9 February the cyclone Helios hit the countries around central Mediterranean, with severe rainfall. The system was named Helios, but was not considered to be a Medicane.
2. Description of the event
The plots below show analyses of MSLP and 6 hour rainfall from 7 February 00UTC to 11 February 00UTC, every 12th hour.
The plots below show analyses of z500 and T850 from 6 February to 12 February 00UTC, every 24 hour.
3. Predictability
3.1 Data assimilation
3.2 HRES
The plots below show observations (first plot), analysis from concatenated 6-hour forecasts (2nd plot) and HRES forecasts of 24-hour precipitation valid 9 February 00UTC - 10 February 00UTC, from different initial dates. The black box show the area around Malta.
3.3 ENS
The plots below show EFI for 1-day precipitation 9 February, from different initial times.
