Comparison of scores of IFS cycle 41r2 (combination of research experiments and the current e-suite) and IFS cycle 41r1 (the current operational cycle) verified by the respective analyses or radiosonde observations at 00UTC for the period 00 UTC on 1 January 2015 to 12 UTC on 30 November 2015.
High resolution
| ACC | RMSe/STDe | SEEPS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Europe | against analysis | Geopotential | 100hPa | |||
| 500hPa | ||||||
| MSL pressure | ||||||
| Temperature | 100hPa | |||||
| 200hPa | ||||||
| 850hPa | ||||||
| Wind | 100hPa | |||||
| 200hPa | ||||||
| 850hPa | ||||||
| Relative humidity | 300hPa | |||||
| 700hPa | ||||||
| against observations | Temperature | 100hPa | ||||
| 200hPa | ||||||
| 850hPa | ||||||
| 2m temperature | ||||||
| Wind | 100hPa | |||||
| 200hPa | ||||||
| 850hPa | ||||||
| 10m wind | ||||||
| 2m dew-point | ||||||
| Total cloud cover | ||||||
| 24h precipitation | ||||||
| Extratropical Northern Hemisphere | against analysis | Geopotential | 100hPa | |||
| 500hPa | ||||||
| MSL pressure | ||||||
| Temperature | 100hPa | |||||
| 200hPa | ||||||
| 850hPa | ||||||
| Wind | 100hPa | |||||
| 200hPa | ||||||
| 850hPa | ||||||
| 10m wind over ocean | ||||||
| Ocean wave height | ||||||
| Ocean wave period | ||||||
| Relative humidity | 300hPa | |||||
| 700hPa | ||||||
| against observations | Temperature | 100hPa | ||||
| 200hPa | ||||||
| 850hPa | ||||||
| 2m temperature | ||||||
| Wind | 100hPa | |||||
| 200hPa | ||||||
| 850hPa | ||||||
| 10m wind | ||||||
| 2m dew-point | ||||||
| Total cloud cover | ||||||
| 24h precipitation | ||||||
| Extratropical Southern Hemisphere | against analysis | Geopotential | 100hPa | |||
| 500hPa | ||||||
| MSL pressure | ||||||
| Temperature | 100hPa | |||||
| 200hPa | ||||||
| 850hPa | ||||||
| Wind | 100hPa | |||||
| 200hPa | ||||||
| 850hPa | ||||||
| 10m wind over ocean | ||||||
| Ocean wave height | ||||||
| Ocean wave period | ||||||
| Relative humidity | 300hPa | |||||
| 700hPa | ||||||
| against observations | Temperature | 100hPa | ||||
| 200hPa | ||||||
| 850hPa | ||||||
| 2m temperature | ||||||
| Wind | 100hPa | |||||
| 200hPa | ||||||
| 850hPa | ||||||
| 10m wind | ||||||
| 2m dew-point | ||||||
| Total cloud cover | ||||||
| 24h precipitation | ||||||
| Tropics | against analysis | Temperature | 100hPa | |||
| 200hPa | ||||||
| 850hPa | ||||||
| Wind | 100hPa | |||||
| 200hPa | ||||||
| 850hPa | ||||||
| 10m wind over ocean | ||||||
| Ocean wave height | ||||||
| Ocean wave period | ||||||
| Relative humidity | 300hPa | |||||
| 700hPa | ||||||
| against observations | Temperature | 100hPa | ||||
| 200hPa | ||||||
| 850hPa | ||||||
| 2m temperature | ||||||
| Wind | 100hPa | |||||
| 200hPa | ||||||
| 850hPa | ||||||
| 10m wind | ||||||
| 2m dew-point | ||||||
| Total cloud cover | ||||||
| 24h precipitation |
Extended HRES scorecard
Comparison for additional domains can be found in the extended HRES scorecards
- Extended scorecard for northern and southern hemispheres, tropics and Europe
- Extended scorecard for north Atlantic, north America and north Pacific
- Extended scorecard for east Asia, Australia and New Zealand, the Arctic and Antarctic
Score card provides a quick visual overview over the performance of the CY41r2 scores compared to CY41r1. It is a simplified summary of verify error plots of various domains, scores, parameters etc.
Each error plot is converted into a sequence of symbols (e.g. ) where each symbol indicates for given time step whether or not the CY41r2 is significantly better or worse than the CY41r1.
Symbol legend: for a given forecast step... (d: score difference, s: confidence interval width)
CY41r2 better than CY41r1 statistically highly significant (the confidence bar above zero by more than its height )(d/s>3)
CY41r2 better than CY41r1 statistically significant (d/s≥1)
CY41r2 better than CY41r1, yet not statistically significant (d/s≥0.5)
not really any difference between CY41r1 and CY41r2
CY41r2 worse than CY41r1, yet not statistically significant (d/s≤-0.5)
CY41r2 worse than CY41r1 statistically significant (d/s≤-1)
CY41r2 worse than CY41r1 statistically highly significant (the confidence bar below zero by more than its height) (d/s<-3)